Mario Kart Tour item probability distributions

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The following item probability distributions are used by Mario Kart Tour to determine the probability of obtaining a certain item when an Item Box is opened. Such a probability is coded as a percentage multiplied by two. Text directly derived from in-game data is reported in italics.

General rules

It has been requested that this section be rewritten. Reason: cleaner formulation

During races, the item probability distribution is chosen depending on the current position in the ranking at the moment the Item Box is opened.

Whether or not the Item Box will activate Frenzy mode will be determined first. If the player has Auto Item off, then it is not possible for them to activate Frenzy mode if a Spiny Shell, a Bullet Bill, Lightning, a Mega Mushroom, a Coin Box, Banana Barrels, a Mushroom Cannon or a Bob-omb Cannon are being hold.

The following restrictions hold for the non-Frenzy item distributions:

  • The player can not hold three of the same items.
  • A Mega Mushroom, a Bullet Bill, a Super Horn, Banana Barrels, a Mushroom Cannon, a Coin Box and a Bob-omb Cannon can not appear if the player already holds one.
  • A Spiny Shell can not be obtained before 30 seconds have elapsed and can not appear for 30 seconds after one has been obtained.
  • A Blooper can not appear for 30 seconds after one has been obtained (this does not hold for Bloopers that are part of a Lucky Seven).
  • A Bullet Bill can not be obtained before 35 seconds have elapsed and can not appear for 10 seconds after one has been obtained.
  • Lightning can not be obtained before 20 seconds have elapsed and can not appear for 60 seconds after one has been obtained.

If items can not be obtained according to this restrictions, the corresponding percentages will be set to zero and the percentages of the other items will be scaled up such that the sum of the percentages will be unity.

Regular races

Non-Frenzy

The following tables are for situations where Frenzy mode is not activated. There are four tables divided into two groups, whose purpose is currently unknown, although it is expected that the first table cotnains the probability of the first opened item box, whiel the other tables contain the probability of the following item boxes.

First group

Position 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
P A P A P A P A P A P A P A P A
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Banana

10 0 15 0 35 0 45 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Green Shell

5 0 20 0 20 0 25 0 50 0 35 0 0 0 0 0
 

Red Shell

0 0 20 0 5 0 5 0 15 0 10 0 0 0 0 0
 

Mushroom

0 0 5 0 5 0 15 0 25 0 30 0 85 0 95 0
 

Bob-omb

0 0 0 0 5 0 10 0 10 0 20 0 0 0 0 0
 

Blooper

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Spiny Shell

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Super Star

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Bullet Bill

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Lightning

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Fire Flower

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Coin

85 0 40 0 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Ice Flower

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Dash Ring

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Bubble

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Lucky Seven

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Bowser's Shell

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Giant Banana

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 0 30 0 20 0 20 0 20 0 5 0 0 0 0 0
 

Yoshi's Egg

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Birdo's Egg

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 9 0 13 0 8 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 9 0 13 0 8 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 9 0 13 0 8 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Boomerang Flower

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Super Horn

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 0 35 0 50 0 30 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 0 35 0 50 0 30 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 0 35 0 50 0 30 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Triple Mushrooms

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Heart

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Hammer

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Triple Bananas

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Triple Green Shells

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Double Bob-ombs

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Bob-omb Cannon

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Banana Barrels

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Mega Mushroom

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 15 0 5 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Mushroom Cannon

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Coin Box

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Position 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
P A P A P A P A P A P A P A P A
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Banana

30 10 15 5 30 15 28 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Green Shell

15 2 20 10 25 15 22 5 35 2 20 0 0 0 0 0
 

Red Shell

0 0 30 10 8 2 10 5 20 8 15 0 0 0 0 0
 

Mushroom

0 0 10 5 15 10 25 10 25 5 45 0 85 0 98 0
 

Bob-omb

0 0 0 0 7 8 15 9 15 9 10 0 0 0 0 0
 

Blooper

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Spiny Shell

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Super Star

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Bullet Bill

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Lightning

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Fire Flower

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Coin

55 15 25 15 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Ice Flower

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Dash Ring

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Bubble

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Lucky Seven

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Bowser's Shell

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Giant Banana

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 0 30 0 20 0 20 0 20 0 5 0 0 0 0 0
 

Yoshi's Egg

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Birdo's Egg

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 0 13 0 8 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 0 13 0 8 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 0 13 0 8 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Boomerang Flower

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Super Horn

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
35 0 50 0 30 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
35 0 50 0 30 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
35 0 50 0 30 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Triple Mushrooms

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 20 0 0
 

Heart

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Hammer

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Triple Bananas

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Triple Green Shells

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Double Bob-ombs

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Bob-omb Cannon

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Banana Barrels

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Mega Mushroom

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 10 10 15 0 5 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Mushroom Cannon

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Coin Box

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Position 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
P A P A P A P A P A P A P A P A
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Banana

35 20 12 10 20 30 15 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Green Shell

20 10 15 20 20 30 18 10 8 0 8 0 0 0 0 0
 

Red Shell

0 0 48 20 20 5 20 10 25 15 17 0 0 0 0 0
 

Mushroom

5 0 12 10 25 20 29 20 20 10 25 0 30 0 21 0
 

Bob-omb

1 0 3 10 10 15 15 15 10 15 10 0 0 0 0 0
 

Blooper

0 0 0 0 0 0 3 10 5 10 5 10 0 0 0 0
 

Spiny Shell

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 7 5 10 3 7 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Super Star

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Bullet Bill

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 8 40 25
 

Lightning

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 9 10
0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
 

Fire Flower

0 0 30 0 20 0 25 0 35 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
 

Coin

35 30 10 30 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Ice Flower

0 0 30 0 20 0 25 0 35 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
 

Dash Ring

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
 

Bubble

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Lucky Seven

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
 

Bowser's Shell

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
 

Giant Banana

20 0 15 0 35 0 30 0 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 0 30 0 20 0 20 0 20 0 5 0 0 0 0 0
 

Yoshi's Egg

0 0 30 0 20 0 25 0 35 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
 

Birdo's Egg

0 0 30 0 20 0 25 0 35 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
13 0 8 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 0 8 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 0 8 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Boomerang Flower

0 0 30 0 20 0 25 0 35 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
 

Super Horn

4 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
50 0 30 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
50 0 30 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
50 0 30 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Triple Mushrooms

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 40 30 40 0 0
 

Heart

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Hammer

0 0 30 0 20 0 25 0 35 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
 

Triple Bananas

20 0 15 0 35 0 30 0 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Triple Green Shells

0 0 30 0 20 0 25 0 35 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
 

Double Bob-ombs

0 0 30 0 20 0 25 0 35 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
 

Bob-omb Cannon

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
 

Banana Barrels

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Mega Mushroom

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 27 20 30 20 40 0 30 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Mushroom Cannon

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
 

Coin Box

20 0 15 0 35 0 30 0 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 60 0 40 0 50 0 70 0 30 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Second group

Position 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
P A P A P A P A P A P A P A P A
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Banana

20 20 12 10 20 30 15 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Green Shell

20 5 15 20 20 30 18 10 8 5 8 0 0 0 0 0
 

Red Shell

0 0 38 20 15 5 20 10 25 15 17 0 0 0 0 0
 

Mushroom

5 0 12 10 20 20 29 20 20 10 25 0 40 0 31 0
 

Bob-omb

1 0 3 10 10 15 15 15 10 15 10 0 0 0 0 0
 

Blooper

0 0 0 0 0 0 3 10 5 10 5 10 0 0 0 0
 

Spiny Shell

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 7 5 10 3 7 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Super Star

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Bullet Bill

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 8 35 25
 

Lightning

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 6 5
0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
 

Fire Flower

0 0 30 0 20 0 25 0 35 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
 

Coin

50 30 20 30 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Ice Flower

0 0 30 0 20 0 25 0 35 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
 

Dash Ring

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
 

Bubble

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Lucky Seven

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
 

Bowser's Shell

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
 

Giant Banana

20 0 15 0 35 0 30 0 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 0 30 0 20 0 20 0 20 0 5 0 0 0 0 0
 

Yoshi's Egg

0 0 30 0 20 0 25 0 35 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
 

Birdo's Egg

0 0 30 0 20 0 25 0 35 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 9 0 13 0 8 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 9 0 13 0 8 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 9 0 13 0 8 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Boomerang Flower

0 0 30 0 20 0 25 0 35 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
 

Super Horn

4 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 0 35 0 50 0 30 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 0 35 0 50 0 30 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 0 35 0 50 0 30 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Triple Mushrooms

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 40 30 40 0 0
 

Heart

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Hammer

0 0 30 0 20 0 25 0 35 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
 

Triple Bananas

20 0 15 0 35 0 30 0 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Triple Green Shells

0 0 30 0 20 0 25 0 35 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
 

Double Bob-ombs

0 0 30 0 20 0 25 0 35 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
 

Bob-omb Cannon

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
 

Banana Barrels

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Mega Mushroom

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 27 20 30 20 40 0 30 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
 

Mushroom Cannon

0 0 0 0 15 0 35 0 40 0 30 0 30 0 0 0
 

Coin Box

20 0 15 0 35 0 30 0 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Frenzy

The following tables are for situations where Frenzy mode is activated. Boosted probabilities from driver skill levels or gliders are not included. If the special item has a probability to be obtained, the percentages of the other items will be scaled down such that the sum of the percentages will be unity.

Drivers controlled by players, 1st lap/section
Item 1st place 2nd place 3rd place 4th place 5th place 6th place 7th place 8th place
Activating Frenzy 5 6 7 9 13 15 18 22
Regular Items
 
Banana
30 25 35 15 5 0 0 0
 
Green Shell
10 30 25 30 5 8 0 0
 
Red Shell
0 15 10 10 10 22 27 0
 
Spiny Shell
0 0 0 0 5 5 6 0
 
Bob-omb
0 10 25 25 30 15 0 0
 
Mushroom
0 0 5 5 22 20 35 40
 
Mega Mushroom
0 0 0 0 5 20 20 40
 
Bullet Bill
0 0 0 0 0 0 6 10
 
Blooper
0 0 0 15 18 18 0 0
 
Lightning
0 0 0 0 0 0 6 10
 
Super Horn
10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
 
Coin
50 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
Special Items
 
Triple Bananas
20 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 0 0 0
 
Giant Banana
20 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 0 0 0
 
Triple Green Shells
0 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 20 0 0
 
Bowser's Shell
0 0 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 33.333 0
 
Double Bob-ombs
0 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 20 0 0
 
Triple Mushrooms
0 0 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 33.333 0
 
Fire Flower
0 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 20 0 0
 
Boomerang Flower
0 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 20 0 0
 
Ice Flower
0 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 20 0 0
 
Heart
0 0 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 33.333 0
 
Yoshi's Egg
0 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 20 0 0
 
Birdo's Egg
0 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 20 0 0
 
Bubble
0 0 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 33.333 0
 
Banana Barrels
0 0 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 33.333 0
 
Mushroom Cannon
0 0 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 33.333 0
 
Lucky Seven
0 0 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 33.333 0
 
Coin Box
20 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 33.333 0 0
 
Dash Ring
0 0 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 33.333 0
 
Bob-omb Cannon
0 0 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 33.333 0
 
Hammer
0 20 33.333 33.333 33.333 20 0 0
Drivers controlled by players, 2nd lap/section or 3rd section
Item 1st place 2nd place 3rd place 4th place 5th place 6th place 7th place 8th place
Activating Frenzy 6 7 11 12 18 22 29 41
Regular Items
 
Banana
30 25 35 15 5 0 0 0
 
Green Shell
10 30 25 30 5 8 0 0
 
Red Shell
0 15 10 10 10 22 27 0
 
Spiny Shell
0 0 0 0 5 5 6 0
 
Bob-omb
0 10 25 25 30 15 0 0
 
Mushroom
0 0 5 5 22 20 35 40
 
Mega Mushroom
0 0 0 0 5 20 20 40
 
Bullet Bill
0 0 0 0 0 0 6 10
 
Blooper
0 0 0 15 18 18 0 0
 
Lightning
0 0 0 0 0 0 6 10
 
Super Horn
10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
 
Coin
50 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
Special Items
 
Triple Bananas
20 33.333 50 50 50 0 0 0
 
Giant Banana
20 33.333 50 50 50 0 0 0
 
Triple Green Shells
0 33.333 50 50 50 33.333 0 0
 
Bowser's Shell
0 0 33.333 50 50 50 50 0
 
Double Bob-ombs
0 33.333 50 50 50 33.333 0 0
 
Triple Mushrooms
0 0 33.333 50 50 50 50 0
 
Fire Flower
0 33.333 50 50 50 33.333 0 0
 
Boomerang Flower
0 33.333 50 50 50 33.333 0 0
 
Ice Flower
0 33.333 50 50 50 33.333 0 0
 
Heart
0 0 33.333 50 50 50 50 0
 
Yoshi's Egg
0 33.333 50 50 50 33.333 0 0
 
Birdo's Egg
0 33.333 50 50 50 33.333 0 0
 
Bubble
0 0 33.333 50 50 50 50 0
 
Banana Barrels
0 0 33.333 50 50 50 50 0
 
Mushroom Cannon
0 0 33.333 50 50 50 50 0
 
Lucky Seven
0 0 33.333 50 50 50 50 0
 
Coin Box
20 33.333 50 50 50 50 50 0
 
Dash Ring
0 0 33.333 50 50 50 50 0
 
Bob-omb Cannon
0 0 33.333 50 50 50 50 0
 
Hammer
0 33.333 50 50 50 33.333 0 0

See also