Mario Kart 7 item probability distributions

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The following item probability distributions are used by version 1.1 of Mario Kart 7 to determine the probability of obtaining a certain item when an Item Box is opened[1][2]. Such a probability is coded as a percentage multiplied by two. Text directly derived from in-game data is reported in italics.

Races

During races, the item probability distribution is chosen depending on the current position in the ranking at the moment the Item Box is opened.

Grand Prix races

Grand Prix races, drivers controlled by players (GrandPrix)
Position Banana - Mario Kart 7.png Green Shell MK7.png Red Shell MK7.png Mushroom MK7.png Bobomb MK7.png Blooper MK7.png MK7-Spiny-Shell.png Triple Mushrooms MK7.png Star MK7.png MK7 Bullet Bill.png Lightning MK7 glow.png Golden Mushroom MK7.png Fire Flower MK7.png SuperLeaf-MK7.png MK7 Lucky7.png Test3 Test4 Triple Bananas MK7.png Triple Green Shells MK7.png Triple Red Shells MK7.png
Banana KouraG KouraR Kinoko Bomhei Gesso KouraB Kinoko3 Star Killer Thunder KinokoP Flower Konoha Seven Banana3 KouraG3 KouraR3
rank1 (1st place) 70 60 10 10 20 30
rank2 (2nd place) 30 40 50 30 10 20 20
rank3 (3rd place) 10 20 40 30 20 20 20 10 20 10
rank4 (4th place) 10 20 40 20 10 30 20 10 10 10 20
rank5 (5th place) 10 30 10 20 10 40 20 10 10 10 10 20
rank6 (6th place) 30 20 50 40 10 30 10 10
rank7 (7th place) 20 50 30 30 20 50
rank8 (8th place) 10 30 20 60 50 30
Grand Prix races, drivers controlled by software (GrandPrix_AI)
Position Banana - Mario Kart 7.png Green Shell MK7.png Red Shell MK7.png Mushroom MK7.png Bobomb MK7.png Blooper MK7.png MK7-Spiny-Shell.png Triple Mushrooms MK7.png Star MK7.png MK7 Bullet Bill.png Lightning MK7 glow.png Golden Mushroom MK7.png Fire Flower MK7.png SuperLeaf-MK7.png MK7 Lucky7.png Test3 Test4 Triple Bananas MK7.png Triple Green Shells MK7.png Triple Red Shells MK7.png
Banana KouraG KouraR Kinoko Bomhei Gesso KouraB Kinoko3 Star Killer Thunder KinokoP Flower Konoha Seven Banana3 KouraG3 KouraR3
rank1 (1st place) 90 60 10 10 30
rank2 (2nd place) 30 20 65 20 10 15 10 20 10
rank3 (3rd place) 30 20 40 30 30 20 10 20
rank4 (4th place) 30 20 20 50 20 10 10 10 10 20
rank5 (5th place) 20 20 70 10 20 10 30 10 10
rank6 (6th place) 20 20 50 20 10 40 20 10 10
rank7 (7th place) 20 10 50 10 20 50 20 10 10
rank8 (8th place) 20 10 45 50 10 20 25 20

VS races

All Items

Local and online VS races, drivers controlled by players (VS, WiFi)
Position Banana - Mario Kart 7.png Green Shell MK7.png Red Shell MK7.png Mushroom MK7.png Bobomb MK7.png Blooper MK7.png MK7-Spiny-Shell.png Triple Mushrooms MK7.png Star MK7.png MK7 Bullet Bill.png Lightning MK7 glow.png Golden Mushroom MK7.png Fire Flower MK7.png SuperLeaf-MK7.png MK7 Lucky7.png Test3 Test4 Triple Bananas MK7.png Triple Green Shells MK7.png Triple Red Shells MK7.png
Banana KouraG KouraR Kinoko Bomhei Gesso KouraB Kinoko3 Star Killer Thunder KinokoP Flower Konoha Seven Banana3 KouraG3 KouraR3
rank1 (1st place) 100 60 20 20
rank2 (2nd place) 25 20 45 30 15 15 20 20 10
rank3 (3rd place) 15 10 30 30 20 15 20 10 10 20 20
rank4 (4th place) 10 20 40 20 10 30 10 10 10 20 20
rank5 (5th place) 10 40 10 20 10 60 10 10 10 10 10
rank6 (6th place) 10 30 20 70 40 20 10
rank7 (7th place) 30 60 50 20 40
rank8 (8th place) 20 30 30 40 30 50
Local and online VS races, drivers controlled by software (VS_AI, WiFi_AI)
Position Banana - Mario Kart 7.png Green Shell MK7.png Red Shell MK7.png Mushroom MK7.png Bobomb MK7.png Blooper MK7.png MK7-Spiny-Shell.png Triple Mushrooms MK7.png Star MK7.png MK7 Bullet Bill.png Lightning MK7 glow.png Golden Mushroom MK7.png Fire Flower MK7.png SuperLeaf-MK7.png MK7 Lucky7.png Test3 Test4 Triple Bananas MK7.png Triple Green Shells MK7.png Triple Red Shells MK7.png
Banana KouraG KouraR Kinoko Bomhei Gesso KouraB Kinoko3 Star Killer Thunder KinokoP Flower Konoha Seven Banana3 KouraG3 KouraR3
rank1 (1st place) 90 60 10 10 30
rank2 (2nd place) 40 30 60 20 10 10 20 10
rank3 (3rd place) 30 20 50 30 20 20 20 10
rank4 (4th place) 20 20 20 50 20 10 10 10 20 20
rank5 (5th place) 20 30 10 40 20 20 10 20 10 20
rank6 (6th place) 30 40 10 20 10 40 30 10 10
rank7 (7th place) 30 40 10 20 40 30 20 10
rank8 (8th place) 30 30 30 20 40 20 30

Shells Only

VS races with Shells as the only items (Koura)
Position Banana - Mario Kart 7.png Green Shell MK7.png Red Shell MK7.png Mushroom MK7.png Bobomb MK7.png Blooper MK7.png MK7-Spiny-Shell.png Triple Mushrooms MK7.png Star MK7.png MK7 Bullet Bill.png Lightning MK7 glow.png Golden Mushroom MK7.png Fire Flower MK7.png SuperLeaf-MK7.png MK7 Lucky7.png Test3 Test4 Triple Bananas MK7.png Triple Green Shells MK7.png Triple Red Shells MK7.png
Banana KouraG KouraR Kinoko Bomhei Gesso KouraB Kinoko3 Star Killer Thunder KinokoP Flower Konoha Seven Banana3 KouraG3 KouraR3
rank1 (1st place) 200
rank2 (2nd place) 70 90 20 20
rank3 (3rd place) 50 80 40 30
rank4 (4th place) 10 70 70 50
rank5 (5th place) 40 30 50 80
rank6 (6th place) 30 40 40 90
rank7 (7th place) 30 50 20 100
rank8 (8th place) 30 60 110

Bananas Only

VS races with Bananas as the only items (Banana)
Position Banana - Mario Kart 7.png Green Shell MK7.png Red Shell MK7.png Mushroom MK7.png Bobomb MK7.png Blooper MK7.png MK7-Spiny-Shell.png Triple Mushrooms MK7.png Star MK7.png MK7 Bullet Bill.png Lightning MK7 glow.png Golden Mushroom MK7.png Fire Flower MK7.png SuperLeaf-MK7.png MK7 Lucky7.png Test3 Test4 Triple Bananas MK7.png Triple Green Shells MK7.png Triple Red Shells MK7.png
Banana KouraG KouraR Kinoko Bomhei Gesso KouraB Kinoko3 Star Killer Thunder KinokoP Flower Konoha Seven Banana3 KouraG3 KouraR3
rank1 (1st place) 200
rank2 (2nd place) 180 20
rank3 (3rd place) 160 40
rank4 (4th place) 120 20 60
rank5 (5th place) 80 30 90
rank6 (6th place) 30 40 130
rank7 (7th place) 50 150
rank8 (8th place) 60 140

Mushrooms Only

VS races with Mushrooms as the only items (Kinoko)
Position Banana - Mario Kart 7.png Green Shell MK7.png Red Shell MK7.png Mushroom MK7.png Bobomb MK7.png Blooper MK7.png MK7-Spiny-Shell.png Triple Mushrooms MK7.png Star MK7.png MK7 Bullet Bill.png Lightning MK7 glow.png Golden Mushroom MK7.png Fire Flower MK7.png SuperLeaf-MK7.png MK7 Lucky7.png Test3 Test4 Triple Bananas MK7.png Triple Green Shells MK7.png Triple Red Shells MK7.png
Banana KouraG KouraR Kinoko Bomhei Gesso KouraB Kinoko3 Star Killer Thunder KinokoP Flower Konoha Seven Banana3 KouraG3 KouraR3
rank1 (1st place) 200
rank2 (2nd place) 180 20
rank3 (3rd place) 150 50
rank4 (4th place) 100 100
rank5 (5th place) 30 140 30
rank6 (6th place) 130 30 40
rank7 (7th place) 90 50 60
rank8 (8th place) 40 80 80

Bob-ombs Only

VS races with Bob-ombs as the only items (Bomb)
Position Banana - Mario Kart 7.png Green Shell MK7.png Red Shell MK7.png Mushroom MK7.png Bobomb MK7.png Blooper MK7.png MK7-Spiny-Shell.png Triple Mushrooms MK7.png Star MK7.png MK7 Bullet Bill.png Lightning MK7 glow.png Golden Mushroom MK7.png Fire Flower MK7.png SuperLeaf-MK7.png MK7 Lucky7.png Test3 Test4 Triple Bananas MK7.png Triple Green Shells MK7.png Triple Red Shells MK7.png
Banana KouraG KouraR Kinoko Bomhei Gesso KouraB Kinoko3 Star Killer Thunder KinokoP Flower Konoha Seven Banana3 KouraG3 KouraR3
rank1 (1st place) 200
rank2 (2nd place) 200
rank3 (3rd place) 200
rank4 (4th place) 200
rank5 (5th place) 180 20
rank6 (6th place) 160 40
rank7 (7th place) 130 70
rank8 (8th place) 50 150

Battle Mode

During battles, the item probability distribution is chosen depending on the point difference from the player(s) in first place at the moment the Item Box is opened. There are three possible cases, and the criteria to reach each case are not reported alongside the distributions in the in-game data. The item probability distributions used for Balloon Battles are the same used for Coin Runners battles.

All Items

Local and online Balloon Battles and Coin Runners battles, drivers controlled by players (Balloon, Balloon_WiFi, Coin, Coin_WiFi)
Points behind Banana - Mario Kart 7.png Green Shell MK7.png Red Shell MK7.png Mushroom MK7.png Bobomb MK7.png Blooper MK7.png MK7-Spiny-Shell.png Triple Mushrooms MK7.png Star MK7.png MK7 Bullet Bill.png Lightning MK7 glow.png Golden Mushroom MK7.png Fire Flower MK7.png SuperLeaf-MK7.png MK7 Lucky7.png Test3 Test4 Triple Bananas MK7.png Triple Green Shells MK7.png Triple Red Shells MK7.png
Banana KouraG KouraR Kinoko Bomhei Gesso KouraB Kinoko3 Star Killer Thunder KinokoP Flower Konoha Seven Banana3 KouraG3 KouraR3
rank1 (less than 2 points/1st place) 30 60 40 20 10 20 10 10
rank2 (2-4 points) 10 20 60 10 20 10 10 10 10 10 20 10
rank3 (more than 4 points) 55 20 10 20 30 25 10 10 20
Local and online Balloon Battles and Coin Runners battles, drivers controlled by software (Balloon_AI, Balloon_WiFi_AI, Coin_AI, Coin_WiFi_AI)
Points behind Banana - Mario Kart 7.png Green Shell MK7.png Red Shell MK7.png Mushroom MK7.png Bobomb MK7.png Blooper MK7.png MK7-Spiny-Shell.png Triple Mushrooms MK7.png Star MK7.png MK7 Bullet Bill.png Lightning MK7 glow.png Golden Mushroom MK7.png Fire Flower MK7.png SuperLeaf-MK7.png MK7 Lucky7.png Test3 Test4 Triple Bananas MK7.png Triple Green Shells MK7.png Triple Red Shells MK7.png
Banana KouraG KouraR Kinoko Bomhei Gesso KouraB Kinoko3 Star Killer Thunder KinokoP Flower Konoha Seven Banana3 KouraG3 KouraR3
rank1 (less than 2 points/1st place) 30 30 70 10 10 10 10 10 20
rank2 (2-4 points) 10 10 80 10 20 10 10 10 10 10 20
rank3 (more than 4 points) 100 10 10 20 20 10 10 10 10

Shells Only

Balloon Battles and Coin Runners battles with Shells as the only items (Balloon_Koura, Coin_Koura)
Points behind Banana - Mario Kart 7.png Green Shell MK7.png Red Shell MK7.png Mushroom MK7.png Bobomb MK7.png Blooper MK7.png MK7-Spiny-Shell.png Triple Mushrooms MK7.png Star MK7.png MK7 Bullet Bill.png Lightning MK7 glow.png Golden Mushroom MK7.png Fire Flower MK7.png SuperLeaf-MK7.png MK7 Lucky7.png Test3 Test4 Triple Bananas MK7.png Triple Green Shells MK7.png Triple Red Shells MK7.png
Banana KouraG KouraR Kinoko Bomhei Gesso KouraB Kinoko3 Star Killer Thunder KinokoP Flower Konoha Seven Banana3 KouraG3 KouraR3
rank1 (less than 2 points/1st place) 80 100 20
rank2 (2-4 points) 30 80 20 40 30
rank3 (more than 4 points) 50 50 30 70

Bananas Only

Balloon Battles and Coin Runners battles with Bananas as the only items (Balloon_Banana, Coin_Banana)
Points behind Banana - Mario Kart 7.png Green Shell MK7.png Red Shell MK7.png Mushroom MK7.png Bobomb MK7.png Blooper MK7.png MK7-Spiny-Shell.png Triple Mushrooms MK7.png Star MK7.png MK7 Bullet Bill.png Lightning MK7 glow.png Golden Mushroom MK7.png Fire Flower MK7.png SuperLeaf-MK7.png MK7 Lucky7.png Test3 Test4 Triple Bananas MK7.png Triple Green Shells MK7.png Triple Red Shells MK7.png
Banana KouraG KouraR Kinoko Bomhei Gesso KouraB Kinoko3 Star Killer Thunder KinokoP Flower Konoha Seven Banana3 KouraG3 KouraR3
rank1 (less than 2 points/1st place) 170 30
rank2 (2-4 points) 120 20 60
rank3 (more than 4 points) 50 50 100

Mushrooms Only

Balloon Battles and Coin Runners battles with Mushrooms as the only items (Balloon_Kinoko, Coin_Kinoko)
Points behind Banana - Mario Kart 7.png Green Shell MK7.png Red Shell MK7.png Mushroom MK7.png Bobomb MK7.png Blooper MK7.png MK7-Spiny-Shell.png Triple Mushrooms MK7.png Star MK7.png MK7 Bullet Bill.png Lightning MK7 glow.png Golden Mushroom MK7.png Fire Flower MK7.png SuperLeaf-MK7.png MK7 Lucky7.png Test3 Test4 Triple Bananas MK7.png Triple Green Shells MK7.png Triple Red Shells MK7.png
Banana KouraG KouraR Kinoko Bomhei Gesso KouraB Kinoko3 Star Killer Thunder KinokoP Flower Konoha Seven Banana3 KouraG3 KouraR3
rank1 (less than 2 points/1st place) 150 30 20
rank2 (2-4 points) 70 90 40
rank3 (more than 4 points) 10 100 40 50

Bob-ombs Only

Balloon Battles and Coin Runners battles with Bob-ombs as the only items (Balloon_Bomhei, Coin_Bomhei)
Points behind Banana - Mario Kart 7.png Green Shell MK7.png Red Shell MK7.png Mushroom MK7.png Bobomb MK7.png Blooper MK7.png MK7-Spiny-Shell.png Triple Mushrooms MK7.png Star MK7.png MK7 Bullet Bill.png Lightning MK7 glow.png Golden Mushroom MK7.png Fire Flower MK7.png SuperLeaf-MK7.png MK7 Lucky7.png Test3 Test4 Triple Bananas MK7.png Triple Green Shells MK7.png Triple Red Shells MK7.png
Banana KouraG KouraR Kinoko Bomhei Gesso KouraB Kinoko3 Star Killer Thunder KinokoP Flower Konoha Seven Banana3 KouraG3 KouraR3
rank1 (less than 2 points/1st place) 200
rank2 (2-4 points) 180 20
rank3 (more than 4 points) 130 70

Special cases

These item probability distributions are used in special cases.

Decided

These item probability distributions are rather simplified with respect to the ones used in races and battles without specific items. Since the first one corresponds to the distribution of the special item box in DS DK Pass, it is possible that at least some of them are related to special item boxes.

Decided item probability distributions
Type Banana - Mario Kart 7.png Green Shell MK7.png Red Shell MK7.png Mushroom MK7.png Bobomb MK7.png Blooper MK7.png MK7-Spiny-Shell.png Triple Mushrooms MK7.png Star MK7.png MK7 Bullet Bill.png Lightning MK7 glow.png Golden Mushroom MK7.png Fire Flower MK7.png SuperLeaf-MK7.png MK7 Lucky7.png Test3 Test4 Triple Bananas MK7.png Triple Green Shells MK7.png Triple Red Shells MK7.png
Banana KouraG KouraR Kinoko Bomhei Gesso KouraB Kinoko3 Star Killer Thunder KinokoP Flower Konoha Seven Banana3 KouraG3 KouraR3
type1 70 70 60
type2 200
type3 40 40 90 30
type4 140 60
type5 200
type6 200
type7 200
type8 200
type9 200
type10 200
type11 200
type12 200
type13 200
type14 200
type15 200
type16 200

Title screen item probability distributions

These item probability distributions are used in the demonstrations of the gameplay shown while waiting in the title screen. Judging by the headers used, they seem to be each assigned to a particular driver controlled by the software rather than being dependent on the current position on the ranking.

Title screen item probability distributions (Title)
Type Banana - Mario Kart 7.png Green Shell MK7.png Red Shell MK7.png Mushroom MK7.png Bobomb MK7.png Blooper MK7.png MK7-Spiny-Shell.png Triple Mushrooms MK7.png Star MK7.png MK7 Bullet Bill.png Lightning MK7 glow.png Golden Mushroom MK7.png Fire Flower MK7.png SuperLeaf-MK7.png MK7 Lucky7.png Test3 Test4 Triple Bananas MK7.png Triple Green Shells MK7.png Triple Red Shells MK7.png
Banana KouraG KouraR Kinoko Bomhei Gesso KouraB Kinoko3 Star Killer Thunder KinokoP Flower Konoha Seven Banana3 KouraG3 KouraR3
Sniper 140 60
BananaMaster 140 60
Bomber 200
DefenseMaster 70 70 30 30
Wingman 140 60
Fishman 140 60
type7 200
type8 200

See also

References

  1. ^ A transcription of the in-game item probability distributions of Mario Kart 7 related to races and special cases. Retrieved November 21, 2016.
  2. ^ A transcription of the in-game item probability distributions of Mario Kart 7 related to Battle mode. Retrieved November 21, 2016.