Mario Kart DS item probability distributions

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The following tables are used in Mario Kart DS to determine the probability of receiving an item when an Item Box is opened. Even though the karts influence the probability of obtaining each item through their Items statistics, only the tables for one case are stored in the game's files; this case presumably refers to the use of the Standard karts, that have an Items statistics of 66. The probability is coded as percentage multiplied by two. The distributions are presented in the order used in the code.[1]

Races

In the races, the item probability distributions are chosen depending on the rank of the driver when the Item Box is opened.

Grand Prix races

Grand Prix races, drivers controlled by players
Item Rank
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
  45 25 15 5
  55 40 25 20 10
  90 30 15 5
  35 20 10
  30 40 45 40 35 10
  10 30 55 60 70 30
  10 20 20 10
  10 20 15
  10 20 45
  15 25 20 10
  30 15 5
  5 15 15 5
  10 25 40 25
  15 35 55
  10 20 45
  10 15 10 5
  5 10 10 10 5
Unused Item
Grand Prix races, drivers controlled by software
Item Rank
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
  60 25 35 30 30 25 15 10
  15 70 35 30 15
  50 35 25 20 15 15 5
  35 20 10 5
  10 20 40 40 45 70 70 30
  15 25 35 40 45 55
  10 15 15 10
  10 15 15 15
  25
  5 15 10 10 5
  30 15 5
 
  5 10 20 25
  5 15 30
  10 25
  5 10 10 5
  5 10 10 5
Unused Item

VS races

In the case of online VS races, two tables of item probability distributions are found in the game's code, both of them having the same values. Only one of them will be presented here. It must be noted that those tables have the probabilities coded for 8 players, while in the final game only up to 4 players can participate in an online VS race.

Local VS races, drivers controlled by players
Item Rank
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
  40 30 15 5
  60 45 30 20 10 5
  90 30 15 5
  35 15 10
  25 35 45 40 35 10
  15 30 55 65 75 25
  5 20 20 15
  10 20 20 10
  35
  10 20 15 5
  35 20 5
  5 15 15 10
  10 30 35 35
  15 45 60
  15 45
  5 10 15 10 5
  5 10 10 10 5
Unused Item
Local VS races, drivers controlled by software
Item Rank
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
  80 25 35 30 30 25 15 10
  15 70 35 25 10
  45 30 25 20 15 10 5
  30 20 15 10 5
  20 35 35 45 65 60 20
  10 25 35 45 55 60
  10 15 15 10 5
  15 20 20 20
  25
  5 15 10 5
  30 15 5
 
  5 10 25 20
  5 15 30
  35
  5 10 10 10 5
  5 10 10 5
Unused Item
Online VS races
Item Rank
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
  60 35 30 25 20 5
  50 45 45 40 30 10 10
  100 40 20 10 5
  30 20 10
  30 40 35 30 20 10
  15 35 40 45 55 60 45
  10 10 15 20 20 10
  10 15 20 15 10
  5 25 30
 
 
 
  5 8 20 30 35
  2 15 25 40
  20 30
  5 5 8 10
  5 7 10 5
Unused Item

Special cases

These distributions are used in special cases (such as Missions mode; for example, the 8th distribution is used in the special Item Box of DK Pass, and the second during Mission 6-4. The last five distributions do not allow to obtain any item, it is possible that they are not used in the game.

Special cases
Item Distribution
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
  1 40 200
  1 1
  200 100
 
  200 100 9 9
  200 190 100
  200 40
 
 
  199 120
 
 
  200 90
 
 
 
 
Unused Item

Battles

In the battles, there are three distributions each.

Balloon Battle

For Balloon Battles, items are determined by the number of balloons above the kart.

Balloon Battles, drivers controlled by players
Item Number of balloons
3+ 2 1
  65 35 10
  35 55 80
  45 15
  25 10
  20 20 2
  10 13
  5 15 10
 
 
  15 10
  5 15
  20
  5 25
  5
 
  5 10
  15
Unused Item
Balloon Battles, drivers controlled by software
Item Number of balloons
3+ 2 1
  95 75 15
  35 55 80
  20
  15
  25 20 15
  5 10
  10 15 10
 
 
  10 20
 
 
  5 25
 
 
  10 10
  5 15
Unused Item

Shine Runners

It is not currently known how items get distributed in Shine Runners.

Shine Runners battles, drivers controlled by players
Item Distribution
1 2 3
  60 35 5
  40 60 70
  50 15
  25 10
  10 10 1
  5 4
  15 20 15
 
  15
  25 10
  15
  35
  25
 
 
  5 5
  15
Unused Item
Shine Runners battles, drivers controlled by software
Item Distribution
1 2 3
  90 70 10
  40 65 85
  25 5
  15 5
  20 15 8
  2
  10 20 10
 
  20
  10 20
 
 
  5 20
 
 
  5 10
  15
Unused Item

References