Game Guy's Sweet Surprise

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Game Guy's Sweet Surprise
Game Guy's Sweet Surprise: Two differently sized Chain Chomps devouring their own cakes. From Mario Party 3.
Appears in Mario Party 3
Type Game Guy mini-game
Time limit 10 seconds to select a Chain Chomp
Music track Game Guy Mini-Game
Music sample

Game Guy's Sweet Surprise is a Game Guy minigame in Mario Party 3.

Gameplay[edit]

The player simply has to predict which Chain Chomp will finish eating its cake first. If the player correctly predicts that the Big Chomp will finish first, the player's coins are doubled. However, if the player correctly predicts that the Little Chomp will finish first, their coins are multiplied by an even greater number: either 4, 8, 16, 32, or 64. Before selecting a Chain Chomp, the player can read a description of the Chain Chomps' moods. If the player makes the wrong prediction, they lose all of their coins.

Mechanics[edit]

At the beginning of the minigame, the Big Chomp is always assigned a multiplier of 2×, while the Little Chomp is equally likely to be assigned a multiplier of 4×, 8×, 16×, 32×, or 64×. The probability that the Little Chomp finishes its cake first depends entirely on the multiplier assigned to it; the moods of each Chain Chomp do not affect their likelihood of winning.[1]

At a fixed interval, one of the two Chain Chomps takes a bite of the cake. Below are the probabilities of either Chain Chomp taking a bite of their cake during an interval, based on the multiplier assigned to the Little Chomp:

Multiplier Chance An icon of the Big Chomp in Game Guy's Sweet Surprise from Mario Party 3. takes a bite Chance An icon of the Little Chomp in Game Guy's Sweet Surprise from Mario Party 3. takes a bite
50% 50%
60% 40%
16× 70% 30%
32× 80% 20%
64× 90% 10%

During the same interval, the Chain Chomp that took a bite has a 40% chance to take a second bite. The first Chomp to take six or more bites wins.[1]

This means that the overall probabilities that either Chain Chomp finishes its cake first are as follows, based on the multiplier assigned to the Little Chomp:[2]

Multiplier Chance An icon of the Big Chomp in Game Guy's Sweet Surprise from Mario Party 3. wins Chance An icon of the Little Chomp in Game Guy's Sweet Surprise from Mario Party 3. wins
50.000% 50.000%
70.927% 29.073%
16× 87.201% 12.799%
32× 96.460% 3.540%
64× 99.654% 0.346%

Expected value[edit]

Let B be the number of coins bet. The following table shows the EV for each multiplier assigned to the Little Chomp, as well as whether the player bets on the Big Chomp or the Little Chomp.

Multiplier Bet on An icon of the Big Chomp in Game Guy's Sweet Surprise from Mario Party 3. Bet on An icon of the Little Chomp in Game Guy's Sweet Surprise from Mario Party 3. Higher EV
2B * 0.50000 = 1B 4B * 0.50000 = 2B An icon of the Little Chomp in Game Guy's Sweet Surprise from Mario Party 3.
2B * 0.70927 = 1.41854B 8B * 0.29073 = 2.32584B An icon of the Little Chomp in Game Guy's Sweet Surprise from Mario Party 3.
16× 2B * 0.87201 = 1.74402B 16B * 0.12799 = 2.04784B An icon of the Little Chomp in Game Guy's Sweet Surprise from Mario Party 3.
32× 2B * 0.96460 = 1.9292B 32B * 0.03540 = 1.1328B An icon of the Big Chomp in Game Guy's Sweet Surprise from Mario Party 3.
64× 2B * 0.99654 = 1.99308B 64B * 0.00346 = 0.22144B An icon of the Big Chomp in Game Guy's Sweet Surprise from Mario Party 3.

The player should always bet on the Little Chomp if it has a multiplier of 4×, as it has the same chance of winning as the Big Chomp, but double the expected value. However, by betting on the Big Chomp when the Little Chomp has a multiplier of 64×, the player is nearly guaranteed to double their coins.

Controls[edit]

  • Control Stick left or Control Stick right – Choose Chain Chomp
  • A Button – Select Chain Chomp

Quotes[edit]

Both Chain Chomps can say anything listed below while the player is choosing one of them. These have no effect on the outcome of the game.

  • "I'm so hungry I could faint..."
  • "I haven't eaten since this morning."
  • "Love that cake!"
  • "I'm starvin'!"
  • "Food! Food!!!"
  • "Feed 'em faster!"
  • "No...more cake..."
  • "My tummy hurts..."
  • "It's too sweet..."
  • "I like mushrooms more than cake."

In-game text[edit]

  • Game Guy"The Big Chomp and the Little Chomp will have a cake-eating race. Predict which one will be the quicker cake eater. If you guess right, you'll get more coins. But, if you guess wrong, your coins will be mine."

Names in other languages[edit]

Language Name Meaning
Japanese ケーキでバトル
Kēki de batoru
Battle with Cake

References[edit]