The following distributions are used by version 4.1 of the game to determine the probability of obtaining a certain item when an item box is broken[1]. Such a probability is coded as a percentage multiplied by two.
Races
During races, each probability distribution is chosen depending on the distance from the frontrunner in the moment the item box was broken. The distance reported is the one at which the switch to the next distribution happens.
Grand Prix races
Item probability distributions (Grand Prix races, drivers controlled by players)
|
Distance (units)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
400
|
65
|
50
|
5
|
5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
70
|
|
|
|
|
1000
|
20
|
25
|
50
|
20
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
10
|
5
|
5
|
15
|
15
|
10
|
5
|
|
2000
|
10
|
20
|
30
|
25
|
15
|
|
|
15
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
15
|
5
|
10
|
5
|
10
|
10
|
15
|
5
|
3300
|
|
15
|
20
|
50
|
5
|
5
|
|
60
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
5
|
|
10
|
|
|
10
|
10
|
5
|
5500
|
|
|
10
|
30
|
|
5
|
5
|
85
|
25
|
10
|
|
25
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
8000
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
5
|
65
|
40
|
30
|
5
|
40
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
13000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
35
|
35
|
60
|
10
|
55
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
30
|
85
|
15
|
60
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999998
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30
|
40
|
70
|
|
60
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999999
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30
|
40
|
70
|
|
60
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Item probability distributions (Grand Prix races, drivers controlled by software)
|
Distance (units)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
300
|
50
|
40
|
15
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
70
|
10
|
|
|
|
700
|
25
|
30
|
60
|
15
|
5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
10
|
5
|
5
|
20
|
10
|
10
|
|
|
1300
|
30
|
35
|
30
|
25
|
10
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
5
|
|
10
|
15
|
10
|
10
|
|
|
2600
|
30
|
35
|
15
|
45
|
10
|
5
|
|
25
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
5
|
|
5
|
5
|
|
15
|
|
|
4500
|
30
|
35
|
5
|
50
|
|
5
|
3
|
47
|
10
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
7000
|
15
|
20
|
|
50
|
|
|
4
|
58
|
20
|
10
|
3
|
20
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13000
|
10
|
10
|
|
30
|
|
|
|
57
|
30
|
30
|
3
|
30
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26000
|
10
|
10
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
42
|
30
|
55
|
3
|
40
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999998
|
|
|
|
30
|
|
|
|
60
|
30
|
50
|
|
30
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999999
|
|
|
|
30
|
|
|
|
60
|
30
|
50
|
|
30
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Versus Races
All Items
Item probability distributions (Versus Races, All items, drivers controlled by players)
|
Distance (units)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
400
|
60
|
50
|
5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
80
|
|
|
|
|
1000
|
15
|
25
|
45
|
20
|
10
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
5
|
20
|
10
|
10
|
5
|
|
2000
|
5
|
15
|
35
|
30
|
10
|
|
|
25
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
15
|
5
|
10
|
5
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
5
|
3300
|
|
15
|
18
|
50
|
|
5
|
2
|
65
|
10
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
10
|
10
|
5
|
5500
|
|
|
|
25
|
|
10
|
5
|
85
|
33
|
10
|
2
|
25
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
8000
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
5
|
65
|
40
|
30
|
5
|
40
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
13000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2
|
40
|
30
|
65
|
8
|
55
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20
|
25
|
90
|
10
|
55
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999998
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
30
|
70
|
|
60
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999999
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
30
|
70
|
|
60
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Item probability distributions (Versus Races, All items, drivers controlled by software)
|
Distance (units)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
300
|
60
|
45
|
15
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
75
|
|
|
|
|
700
|
30
|
35
|
55
|
10
|
5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
10
|
10
|
5
|
20
|
10
|
5
|
|
|
1300
|
30
|
35
|
30
|
20
|
15
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
5
|
5
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
|
|
2600
|
30
|
40
|
15
|
40
|
10
|
10
|
|
20
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
5
|
|
5
|
5
|
|
15
|
|
|
4500
|
30
|
40
|
|
50
|
|
10
|
5
|
40
|
10
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
7000
|
15
|
30
|
|
55
|
|
|
5
|
40
|
20
|
10
|
5
|
20
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13000
|
10
|
10
|
|
40
|
|
|
|
45
|
30
|
30
|
5
|
30
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26000
|
10
|
10
|
|
20
|
|
|
|
30
|
30
|
55
|
5
|
40
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999998
|
|
|
|
30
|
|
|
|
60
|
30
|
50
|
|
30
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999999
|
|
|
|
30
|
|
|
|
60
|
30
|
50
|
|
30
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mushrooms Only
Item probability distributions (Versus Races, Mushrooms Only, drivers controlled by players)
|
Distance (units)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
400
|
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
|
|
1000
|
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
|
|
2000
|
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
|
85
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15
|
|
|
|
|
3300
|
|
|
|
70
|
|
|
|
130
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5500
|
|
|
|
30
|
|
|
|
130
|
|
|
|
40
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
120
|
|
|
|
80
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
80
|
|
|
|
120
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
|
|
|
160
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999998
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999999
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Item probability distributions (Versus Races, Mushrooms Only, drivers controlled by software)
|
Distance (units)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
300
|
|
|
|
120
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
80
|
|
|
|
|
700
|
|
|
|
120
|
|
|
|
40
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
|
|
|
|
1300
|
|
|
|
110
|
|
|
|
80
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
2600
|
|
|
|
110
|
|
|
|
90
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4500
|
|
|
|
90
|
|
|
|
80
|
|
|
|
30
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7000
|
|
|
|
70
|
|
|
|
70
|
|
|
|
60
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13000
|
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
|
60
|
|
|
|
90
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26000
|
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
|
60
|
|
|
|
90
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999998
|
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
|
110
|
|
|
|
40
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999999
|
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
|
110
|
|
|
|
40
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shells Only
Item probability distributions (Versus Races, Shells Only, drivers controlled by players)
|
Distance (units)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
400
|
|
100
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
|
|
1000
|
|
90
|
30
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
|
30
|
10
|
|
2000
|
|
60
|
60
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
40
|
30
|
|
3300
|
|
40
|
65
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
40
|
|
5500
|
|
20
|
70
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
50
|
|
8000
|
|
|
60
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
80
|
|
13000
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
90
|
|
26000
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
90
|
|
999998
|
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999999
|
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Item probability distributions (Versus Races, Shells Only, drivers controlled by software)
|
Distance (units)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
300
|
|
120
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
80
|
|
|
|
|
700
|
|
90
|
50
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
|
20
|
|
|
1300
|
|
80
|
70
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
40
|
|
|
2600
|
|
70
|
65
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
60
|
|
|
4500
|
|
60
|
55
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
80
|
|
|
7000
|
|
45
|
50
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
13000
|
|
35
|
40
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
120
|
|
|
26000
|
|
25
|
30
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
140
|
|
|
999998
|
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999999
|
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bananas Only
Item probability distributions (Versus Races, Bananas Only, drivers controlled by players)
|
Distance (units)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
400
|
100
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
|
|
1000
|
115
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
35
|
|
|
|
2000
|
120
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15
|
65
|
|
|
|
3300
|
110
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
90
|
|
|
|
5500
|
80
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
120
|
|
|
|
8000
|
50
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
150
|
|
|
|
13000
|
20
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
180
|
|
|
|
26000
|
20
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
180
|
|
|
|
999998
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999999
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Item probability distributions (Versus Races, Bananas Only, drivers controlled by software)
|
Distance (units)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
300
|
120
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
80
|
|
|
|
|
700
|
130
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
30
|
|
|
|
1300
|
140
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
50
|
|
|
|
2600
|
130
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70
|
|
|
|
4500
|
110
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
90
|
|
|
|
7000
|
90
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
110
|
|
|
|
13000
|
70
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
130
|
|
|
|
26000
|
70
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
130
|
|
|
|
999998
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999999
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bob-ombs Only
Item probability distributions (Versus Races, Bob-ombs Only, drivers controlled by players)
|
Distance (units)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
400
|
|
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
|
|
1000
|
|
|
|
|
130
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70
|
|
|
|
|
2000
|
|
|
|
|
160
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40
|
|
|
|
|
3300
|
|
|
|
|
180
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20
|
|
|
|
|
5500
|
|
|
|
|
190
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
8000
|
|
|
|
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13000
|
|
|
|
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26000
|
|
|
|
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999998
|
|
|
|
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999999
|
|
|
|
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Item probability distributions (Versus Races, Bob-ombs Only, drivers controlled by software)
|
Distance (units)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
300
|
|
|
|
|
120
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
80
|
|
|
|
|
700
|
|
|
|
|
150
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
|
|
1300
|
|
|
|
|
170
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30
|
|
|
|
|
2600
|
|
|
|
|
190
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
4500
|
|
|
|
|
190
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
7000
|
|
|
|
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13000
|
|
|
|
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26000
|
|
|
|
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999998
|
|
|
|
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999999
|
|
|
|
|
200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Frantic Mode
Item probability distributions (Versus Races, Frantic Mode, drivers controlled by players)
|
Distance (units)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
400
|
30
|
25
|
10
|
25
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
45
|
30
|
25
|
|
|
1000
|
5
|
5
|
30
|
20
|
15
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
15
|
5
|
20
|
20
|
10
|
|
2000
|
|
|
10
|
10
|
15
|
5
|
5
|
25
|
15
|
|
|
|
15
|
20
|
15
|
15
|
|
10
|
15
|
20
|
5
|
3300
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
10
|
10
|
45
|
40
|
15
|
|
20
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
|
|
10
|
15
|
10
|
5500
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
45
|
55
|
30
|
5
|
40
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
5
|
8000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
35
|
55
|
45
|
5
|
50
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
13000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25
|
40
|
65
|
10
|
60
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
30
|
85
|
10
|
65
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999998
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30
|
40
|
70
|
|
60
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999999
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30
|
40
|
70
|
|
60
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Item probability distributions (Versus Races, Frantic Mode, drivers controlled by software)
|
Distance (units)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
300
|
35
|
35
|
20
|
15
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
60
|
15
|
15
|
|
|
700
|
15
|
20
|
45
|
15
|
10
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
15
|
20
|
|
|
1300
|
15
|
20
|
25
|
20
|
15
|
|
|
30
|
10
|
|
|
|
10
|
10
|
5
|
10
|
|
10
|
20
|
|
|
2600
|
15
|
20
|
10
|
25
|
10
|
10
|
5
|
40
|
20
|
|
|
10
|
5
|
5
|
|
5
|
|
5
|
15
|
|
|
4500
|
15
|
20
|
|
25
|
|
10
|
5
|
40
|
30
|
15
|
5
|
30
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
7000
|
10
|
10
|
|
20
|
|
|
10
|
35
|
40
|
30
|
5
|
40
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13000
|
5
|
5
|
|
15
|
|
|
5
|
30
|
35
|
50
|
5
|
50
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26000
|
5
|
5
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
25
|
30
|
60
|
5
|
60
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999998
|
|
|
|
20
|
|
|
|
30
|
30
|
60
|
|
60
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
999999
|
|
|
|
20
|
|
|
|
30
|
30
|
60
|
|
60
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
References